Question

Will a RNA SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate be approved for use in the United States or European Union before 2022?

Resolved :Yes99%

18 comments18

Total Forecasters112

Community Prediction99% (99% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

31.5

Community Peer Score

27.3

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Apr 11, 2020

Closes:

Dec 8, 2020

Resolves:

Dec 22, 2020

Food and Drug Administration

Scientists Are Racing to Develop a New Bird Flu Vaccine

Time•Jan 26, 2025

These innovative biotech stocks have a good chance of breaking out in 2025

CNBC•Jan 28, 2025

I've taken a cancer vaccine like the one Trump is spearheading...

Daily Mail•Jan 28, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be approved by the US?

2025-10-22

Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be approved by the FDA, EMA, or PMDA before 2028?

80%

When will an HSV-1 vaccine be approved by the FDA?

2032-12-16

Comments

? comments