Question

Will a RNA SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate be approved for use in the United States or European Union before 2022?

Resolved :Yes

18 comments18

Total Forecasters112

Community Prediction99%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

31.5

Community Peer Score

27.3

median 99.0%mean 98.2%

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Food and Drug Administration

Genetics

Before 2032, will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

95%

Before 2032, will these pan-coronavirus vaccine candidates be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

When will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be approved by the US?

2025-10-22

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