Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?

Resolved :Yes60%
8
7
Total Forecasters31
Community Prediction60% (50% - 80%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 60%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
-8.8
Community Peer Score
10.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
VLT
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Space
Natural Sciences
2016-2017 Leaderboard
Astronomy
Precision tests of QED
Euler–Heisenberg Lagrangian
Very Large Telescope
Extremely Large Telescope
Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society
Google Scholar
Physics
Measurement

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