🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

What will be the relative severity of the next US depression, compared to the Great Depression?

13
18
Total Forecasters59
Community Prediction0.42 (0.213 - 0.923)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
<0.1
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>10
...
...
...
...
...
6.8%
0.2133
0.4197
0.9233
4.8%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Economy & Business
United States
Bureau of Economic Analysis
Great Depression in the US
Great Depression

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