🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?

Resolved :No30%
9
2
Total Forecasters31
Community Prediction30% (15% - 34%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 30%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
31.1
Community Peer Score
-0.6
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
VLT
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Space
Natural Sciences
2016-2017 Leaderboard
Astronomy
Physics
Extraterrestrial life
Search for extraterrestrial intelligence
Biology
Sloan Digital Sky Survey
Breakthrough Listen
Université Laval
Publications of the Astronomical Society of the Pacific

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