Question

Will a member of the Trump family be the Republican nominee for the US Presidency in 2024?

Resolved :Yes

150 comments150

Total Forecasters651

Community Prediction99%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-32.6

Community Peer Score

70.3

median 99.0%mean 96.8%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

2020 US presidential election

2024 Elections (US)

Republican Party (US)

Donald Trump

2016 US presidential election

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) → Trump in power beyond 2028?

Will Trump win the 2024 presidential election and retain supreme executive power past 2028?

1.7%

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

35%

Comments

? comments