Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will a member of the Trump family be the Republican nominee for the US Presidency in 2024?

Resolved :Yes99%
38
150
Total Forecasters651
Community Prediction99% (98% - 99.2%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
-32.6
Community Peer Score
70.3
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
2016-2025 Leaderboard
2020 US presidential election
2024 Elections (US)
Republican Party (US)
Donald Trump
2016 US presidential election
United States
Donald Trump Jr.
Eric Trump
Ivanka Trump

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