Question

Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?

Resolved :No

19 comments19

Total Forecasters181

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

89.5

Community Peer Score

18.5

median 1.0%mean 2.3%

Authors:

greg-admin

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Sports & Entertainment

AlphaGo

Google

AlphaGo versus Lee Sedol

Will an AI win a coding contest on Codeforces in 2024?

Will the winning bot in any Quarterly AI Benchmarking tournament beat the human Pro aggregate before Q3 of 2025?

25%

Will there be Human-machine intelligence parity before 2040?

98%

Comments

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Authors:

greg-admin

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Sports & Entertainment

AlphaGo

Google

AlphaGo versus Lee Sedol

A Nobel Prize for Artificial Intelligence

Atlantic•Oct 9, 2024

[Herald Design Forum] Human guides essential to AI development, says Johnny Lee

Korea Herald•Oct 9, 2024

When Will AI Take Over the World? We Asked ChatGPT

Newsweek•Oct 10, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will an AI win a coding contest on Codeforces in 2024?

Will the winning bot in any Quarterly AI Benchmarking tournament beat the human Pro aggregate before Q3 of 2025?

25%

Will there be Human-machine intelligence parity before 2040?

98%