M

Question

How much karma will the top LessWrong post in 2020 have?

Resolved :310265
Total Forecasters46
Community Prediction265 (257 - 284)

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My Prediction
community
<235
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>450
...
...
...
...
...
5.7%
256.5
265.3
283.6
0.7%

What was the final result?310

Community Baseline Score
15.9
Community Peer Score
5.4
Opened:Apr 23, 2020
Closes:Oct 1, 2020
Resolves:Jan 1, 2021

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