Question

How much karma will the top LessWrong post in 2020 have?

Resolved :310265

10 comments10

Total Forecasters46

Community Prediction265 (257 - 284)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

My Prediction

community

<235

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>450

...

5.7%

256.5

265.3

283.6

0.7%

What was the final result?310

Community Baseline Score

15.9

Community Peer Score

5.4

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Apr 23, 2020

Closes:

Oct 1, 2020

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2021

Computing and Math

2020 Leaderboard

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