Question

Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?

Resolved :No

2 comments2

Total Forecasters43

Community Prediction25%

Make a Prediction

community: 25%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

11.2

Community Peer Score

16.7

median 25.0%mean 27.3%

Authors:

mwg1378

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act

Presidency of Donald Trump

Donald Trump

Will Obergefell v. Hodges be overturned by the US Supreme Court before 2030?

10%

Will the Pandemic and All Hazards Preparedness Act (PAHPA) be reauthorized for more than 4 years before April 1st, 2024, and December 31st, 2024?

Will California's waiver exception under the Clean Air Act be repealed before January 1, 2027?

33%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

mwg1378

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act

Presidency of Donald Trump

Donald Trump

What Trump or Harris Would Mean for Health Care Access and Affordability

Scientific American•Oct 8, 2024

Republicans Have Plan to Change Medicaid

Newsweek•Oct 9, 2024

Subsidies help a 55-year-old pay $96 a month for health insurance. Her costs could increase 186% if they expire next year.

Business Insider•Oct 10, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Obergefell v. Hodges be overturned by the US Supreme Court before 2030?

10%

Will the Pandemic and All Hazards Preparedness Act (PAHPA) be reauthorized for more than 4 years before April 1st, 2024, and December 31st, 2024?

Will California's waiver exception under the Clean Air Act be repealed before January 1, 2027?

33%