Question

LRT 1.4: As of Saturday May 9, 2020, how many COVID-19 related deaths will have occurred in Louisiana?

Resolved :2.27k

9 comments9

Total Forecasters72

Community Prediction2.24k

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>30k

...

1.922k

2.243k

2.769k

0.1%

What was the final result?2.27k

Community Baseline Score

72.5

Community Peer Score

13.2

Authors:

dan

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round

Lightning Round Tournament Question 2.3.0

How many additional highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 infections will be reported in humans in the United States in 2024?

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

122k

Comments

? comments

Authors:

dan

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round

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Associated Press•Nov 18, 2024

At Least 2 Dead And 10 Injured In Shootings At New Orleans Parade

Forbes•Nov 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Lightning Round Tournament Question 2.3.0

How many additional highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 infections will be reported in humans in the United States in 2024?

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

122k