Question
When will a human chess player reach a FIDE rating of 2900?
Total Forecasters58
Community Prediction2031-06-19 (2028-04-06 - 2039-12-20)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | Apr 2028 | — |
median | Jun 2031 | — |
upper 75% | Dec 2039 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>2040-01-01 | 24.9% | — |
Authors:
Opened:May 3, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2039
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2039
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:May 3, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2039
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2039