Question

Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?

Resolved :Yes

6 comments6

Total Forecasters26

Community Prediction25%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 25%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-142.4

Community Peer Score

16.5

median 25.0%mean 23.1%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Law

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Will AI be given legal rights or be protected from abuse anywhere in the United States before 2035?

32%

Will any 100% AI-generated legislation be passed in the U.S. before 2040?

20%

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Law

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

EU AI Act: Draft guidance for general purpose AIs shows first steps for Big AI to comply

TechCrunch•Nov 15, 2024

‘A fork in the road’: laundry-sorting robot spurs AI hopes and fears at Europe’s biggest tech event

Guardian•Nov 15, 2024

EU AI Act: Everything you need to know

TechCrunch•Nov 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will AI be given legal rights or be protected from abuse anywhere in the United States before 2035?

32%

Will any 100% AI-generated legislation be passed in the U.S. before 2040?

20%