Question

What will be the real world GDP on the year AGI is deployed, in trillions of dollars?

8 comments8

Total Forecasters52

Community Prediction165

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community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>100k

...

120

165

410

2.9%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

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Real gross domestic product

How many years before (or after) AGI is developed, will the world real GDP be 25% higher than every previous year for the first time?

3.43

Five years after AGI, what will be the world’s real average annual GDP growth?

9.27

Five years after AGI, what will be world GDP per capita (biological humans only)?

24.5k

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Progress Essay Contest

AGI Outcomes

Artificial Intelligence

Economy & Business

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

Philosophy

Nick Bostrom

Artificial general intelligence

Paul Christiano

Real gross domestic product

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How many years before (or after) AGI is developed, will the world real GDP be 25% higher than every previous year for the first time?

3.43

Five years after AGI, what will be the world’s real average annual GDP growth?

9.27

Five years after AGI, what will be world GDP per capita (biological humans only)?

24.5k

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What will be the real world GDP on the year AGI is deployed, in trillions of dollars?

Make a Prediction

How many years before (or after) AGI is developed, will the world real GDP be 25% higher than every previous year for the first time?

Five years after AGI, what will be the world’s real average annual GDP growth?

Five years after AGI, what will be world GDP per capita (biological humans only)?

Comments

How many years before (or after) AGI is developed, will the world real GDP be 25% higher than every previous year for the first time?

Five years after AGI, what will be the world’s real average annual GDP growth?

Five years after AGI, what will be world GDP per capita (biological humans only)?

How many years before (or after) AGI is developed, will the world real GDP be 25% higher than every previous year for the first time?

Five years after AGI, what will be the world’s real average annual GDP growth?

Five years after AGI, what will be world GDP per capita (biological humans only)?

How many years before (or after) AGI is developed, will the world real GDP be 25% higher than every previous year for the first time?

Five years after AGI, what will be the world’s real average annual GDP growth?

Five years after AGI, what will be world GDP per capita (biological humans only)?