Question

Will Stephen Wolfram, Jonathan Gorard, or Max Piskunov receive the Nobel prize in physics before 2036?

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Total Forecasters126

Community Prediction1% (1% - 3%)

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50%

community: 1%

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doot

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Nobel Prize in Physics

Google says it accessed parallel universes with its new supercomputer

Daily Mail•Dec 16, 2024

Three American Scientists Honored With The Enrico Fermi Presidential Award

Forbes•Dec 20, 2024

This Year’s Nobel Prizes Are a Warning about AI

Scientific American•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a Nobel Prize in Physics awarded for work in string theory before 2050?

13%

Will a Nobel Prize for Economics be awarded for MMT before 2041?

7.5%

Will George Church receive a Nobel prize, in any category, before the end of 2035?

10%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

doot

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Nobel Prize in Physics

Google says it accessed parallel universes with its new supercomputer

Daily Mail•Dec 16, 2024

Three American Scientists Honored With The Enrico Fermi Presidential Award

Forbes•Dec 20, 2024

This Year’s Nobel Prizes Are a Warning about AI

Scientific American•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a Nobel Prize in Physics awarded for work in string theory before 2050?

13%

Will a Nobel Prize for Economics be awarded for MMT before 2041?

7.5%

Will George Church receive a Nobel prize, in any category, before the end of 2035?

10%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will Stephen Wolfram, Jonathan Gorard, or Max Piskunov receive the Nobel prize in physics before 2036?

Make a Prediction

Will there be a Nobel Prize in Physics awarded for work in string theory before 2050?

Will a Nobel Prize for Economics be awarded for MMT before 2041?

Will George Church receive a Nobel prize, in any category, before the end of 2035?

Comments

Will there be a Nobel Prize in Physics awarded for work in string theory before 2050?

Will a Nobel Prize for Economics be awarded for MMT before 2041?

Will George Church receive a Nobel prize, in any category, before the end of 2035?

Will there be a Nobel Prize in Physics awarded for work in string theory before 2050?

Will a Nobel Prize for Economics be awarded for MMT before 2041?

Will George Church receive a Nobel prize, in any category, before the end of 2035?

Will there be a Nobel Prize in Physics awarded for work in string theory before 2050?

Will a Nobel Prize for Economics be awarded for MMT before 2041?

Will George Church receive a Nobel prize, in any category, before the end of 2035?