Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the number of foreign nationals in Mainland China fall between 2010 and 2030?

15
23
Total Forecasters74
Community Prediction28.4% (21% - 40%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 28.4%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
nagolinc
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Geopolitics
Mainland China
Foreign policy of Xi Jinping
Sixth National Population Census of the People's Republic of China
United States
Census-designated place

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