M

Question

How many countries will, at least in some form, decriminalize possession of all Schedule I drugs for personal use by 2070?

Community Prediction19.738.256.775.5Dec 25Dec 29Jan 02Jan 06Jan 10Jan 14Jan 18Jan 22Jan 26Jan 30Feb 03Feb 07Feb 11Feb 15Feb 19Feb 23now
Total Forecasters30
Community Prediction59.9 (31.8 - 83.1)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

09.6519.328.938.648.357.967.577.286.996.5106116125135145154164174183193
weight:
Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<01.6%
Quartiles
lower 25%31.78
median59.88
upper 75%83.11
Authors:
Opened:Jul 4, 2020
Closes:Feb 5, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2070

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