Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

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Question

How many countries will, at least in some form, decriminalize possession of all Schedule I drugs for personal use by 2070?

Total Forecasters29
Community Prediction56 (30.2 - 81.5)

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weight:
My Prediction
community
<0
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
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0.0%
30.24
55.98
81.46
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