Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

What will be the mean expected lifespan gain from one year of the TRIIM-X trial, as measured by the epigenetic clock GrimAge?

5
4
Total Forecasters22
Community Prediction1.6 (0.913 - 2.25)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
<-2
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>6
...
...
...
...
...
0.8%
0.9133
1.596
2.246
0.4%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Health & Pandemics
Social Sciences
Gerontology
Bioinformatics
Genetics
Biochemistry
Medicine
Metformin
Growth hormone
Endocrinology
Epigenetic clock
Pharmacology

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