Question

When will AI out-perform humans on argument reasoning tasks?

8 comments8

Total Forecasters66

Community Prediction2026-05-27

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2030-01-01

...

2025-04-06 02:20

2026-05-27 14:38

2028-11-19 09:32

15.7%

Authors:

jacob.pfau

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Technical Benchmarks

Artificial Intelligence

Natural language processing

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