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How many months of 2020 will be declared "earth's warmest on record" by NOAA?

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Environment & Climate

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Will the following years be the warmest year on record?

Will the Atlantic basin see more than 18 named storms in the 2024 hurricane season?

Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?

20%

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Environment & Climate

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

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Daily Mail•Oct 8, 2024

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New Scientist•Oct 8, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the following years be the warmest year on record?

Will the Atlantic basin see more than 18 named storms in the 2024 hurricane season?

Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?

20%