Question

What will be the US U-6 unemployment rate for May 2020?

Resolved :21.228.2

36 comments36

Total Forecasters56

Community Prediction28.2 (25.6 - 30.4)

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

25.57

28.22

30.36

What was the final result?21.2

Community Baseline Score

-8.9

Community Peer Score

5.8

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Authors:

thomasr75

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Census Bureau Massively Revises Up Population Growth: +8 Million in 3 Years, +3.3 Million Last Year, Largely due to Immigration. US Population Surges to 340 Million

•Dec 20, 2024

US Unemployment Claims Fall Sharply, Beating Projections

Newsweek•Dec 20, 2024

Fed’s key inflation gauge continues to cool in May as income increases by 0.5%

•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the seasonally adjusted annual average U-3 unemployment rate in the United States in the following years?

4.04

What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months?

4.15

Will the US unemployment rate exceed 5% before 2025?

0.1%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

thomasr75

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Census Bureau Massively Revises Up Population Growth: +8 Million in 3 Years, +3.3 Million Last Year, Largely due to Immigration. US Population Surges to 340 Million

•Dec 20, 2024

US Unemployment Claims Fall Sharply, Beating Projections

Newsweek•Dec 20, 2024

Fed’s key inflation gauge continues to cool in May as income increases by 0.5%

•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the seasonally adjusted annual average U-3 unemployment rate in the United States in the following years?

4.04

What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months?

4.15

Will the US unemployment rate exceed 5% before 2025?

0.1%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

What will be the US U-6 unemployment rate for May 2020?

Make a Prediction

What will be the seasonally adjusted annual average U-3 unemployment rate in the United States in the following years?

What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months?

Will the US unemployment rate exceed 5% before 2025?

Comments

What will be the seasonally adjusted annual average U-3 unemployment rate in the United States in the following years?

What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months?

Will the US unemployment rate exceed 5% before 2025?

What will be the seasonally adjusted annual average U-3 unemployment rate in the United States in the following years?

What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months?

Will the US unemployment rate exceed 5% before 2025?

What will be the seasonally adjusted annual average U-3 unemployment rate in the United States in the following years?

What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months?

Will the US unemployment rate exceed 5% before 2025?