🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

LRT 2.2: As of Monday, April 27th how many total cumulative SARS-CoV-2 infections (including all symptomatic, subclinical, and asymptomatic infections) have there been in the US?

Resolved :10.9M12.8M
7
27
Total Forecasters89
Community Prediction12.8M (8.79M - 18.8M)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
8.789M
12.82M
18.79M

What was the final result?10.9M

Community Baseline Score
63.2
Community Peer Score
17.8
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
dan
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round
2016-2025 Leaderboard
Public health
United States
Medicine
COVID-19
Virology
Epidemiology

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