M

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

Question

How many years after the silver Turing Test is passed will an AGI system be developed?

6
7
Total Forecasters41
Community Prediction1.37

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>100
...
...
...
1.08
1.37
2.91
1.0%
Authors:
jacob.pfau
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
AGI Outcomes
Artificial Intelligence
Turing test
Artificial intelligence
Computer science
Philosophy
Allen Institute for AI
Artificial general intelligence
Oren Etzioni

Comments

? comments