Question
How many years after the silver Turing Test is passed will an AGI system be developed?
Total Forecasters41
Community Prediction1.34 (1.07 - 2.76)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 1.074 | — |
| median | 1.338 | — |
| upper 75% | 2.763 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >100 | 1.0% | — |
Authors:
Opened:May 7, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2075
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:May 7, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2075
