M

Question

Will the community prediction do better than the Metaculus prediction for the 2nd instalment of the Lightning round?

Resolved :Yes
3
9
Total Forecasters42
Community Prediction54%

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 54%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
11.5
Community Peer Score
1.0
median 54.0%mean 56.6%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
Tamay
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Metaculus
Health & Pandemics
University of Massachusetts Amherst
Lightning round

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