M

Question

Will the community prediction do better than the Metaculus prediction for the 2nd instalment of the Lightning round?

Resolved :Yes54%
Total Forecasters42
Community Prediction54% (50% - 60%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 54%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
11.5
Community Peer Score
1.0
Authors:
Opened:Apr 26, 2020
Closes:May 4, 2020
Resolves:May 18, 2022

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