Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

LRT 2.4: What will the average number of new daily confirmed cases be, over the period from 10th, till May 16th, in the state of Georgia?

Resolved :659712
4
33
Total Forecasters78
Community Prediction712 (526 - 988)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>5k
...
...
...
...
526.1
712.4
987.8
1.1%

What was the final result?659

Community Baseline Score
81.4
Community Peer Score
14.9
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Tamay
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round
2020 Leaderboard
COVID-19
COVID-19 vaccine
Public health
Georgia (country)
Medicine
Immunology
Virology
Georgia (U.S. state)

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