Question

Will NAD+ boosters be shown in a systematic review to increase human lifespan by >=5% by 2030?

6 comments6

Total Forecasters42

Community Prediction5%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 5%

median 5.0%mean 7.4%

Authors:

thewaler

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

Demography

Nicotinamide riboside

Nicotinamide mononucleotide

How Millions of Americans Could Live 5 Years Longer

Newsweek•Nov 15, 2024

The Quest for Immortality: What Do Scientists Say?

Psychology Today•Nov 16, 2024

Potential Science-Based Alzheimer’s Remedies in Unlikely Places?

PJ Media•Nov 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

By 1 January 2067, will any medical interventions for healthy adults extend average lifespans by at least 25 years?

52.2%

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

42%

Will there be a culturally significant development in aging research by 2030?

57%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

thewaler

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

Demography

Nicotinamide riboside

Nicotinamide mononucleotide

How Millions of Americans Could Live 5 Years Longer

Newsweek•Nov 15, 2024

The Quest for Immortality: What Do Scientists Say?

Psychology Today•Nov 16, 2024

Potential Science-Based Alzheimer’s Remedies in Unlikely Places?

PJ Media•Nov 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

By 1 January 2067, will any medical interventions for healthy adults extend average lifespans by at least 25 years?

52.2%

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

42%

Will there be a culturally significant development in aging research by 2030?

57%