Question

Will NAD+ boosters be shown in a systematic review to increase human lifespan by >=5% by 2030?

7 comments7

Total Forecasters42

Community Prediction5% (1% - 7.5%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 5%

Authors:

thewaler

Opened:

Jun 1, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2027

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Health & Pandemics

Demography

Nicotinamide riboside

Nicotinamide mononucleotide

Opinion | The Science of Blue Zones and Extreme Longevity Is Deeply Flawed

New York Times•Jan 20, 2025

Anti-ageing breakthrough: Doctors to invent 'Benjamin Button' vaccine that turns back body clock - may prevent dementia

Daily Mail•Jan 21, 2025

Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei Believes A.I. Could Double Human Lifespans in 5 Years

Observer (NY)•Jan 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

By 1 January 2067, will any medical interventions for healthy adults extend average lifespans by at least 25 years?

52.2%

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

50%

Will there be a culturally significant development in aging research by 2030?

57%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

thewaler

Opened:

Jun 1, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2027

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Health & Pandemics

Demography

Nicotinamide riboside

Nicotinamide mononucleotide

Opinion | The Science of Blue Zones and Extreme Longevity Is Deeply Flawed

New York Times•Jan 20, 2025

Anti-ageing breakthrough: Doctors to invent 'Benjamin Button' vaccine that turns back body clock - may prevent dementia

Daily Mail•Jan 21, 2025

Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei Believes A.I. Could Double Human Lifespans in 5 Years

Observer (NY)•Jan 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

By 1 January 2067, will any medical interventions for healthy adults extend average lifespans by at least 25 years?

52.2%

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

50%

Will there be a culturally significant development in aging research by 2030?

57%