🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

When will the suspension of incoming travel to the US from the Schengen area be terminated?

Resolved :Above upper bound2020-10-20
19
33
Total Forecasters74
Community Prediction2020-10-20 (2020-09-14 - 2020-12-24)

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CDF

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2020-12-30
...
...
...
...
2020-09-14 09:13
2020-10-20 20:14
2020-12-24 08:45
22.2%

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Baseline Score
46.1
Community Peer Score
71.9
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
underyx
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Health & Pandemics
Economy & Business
2020 Leaderboard
United Kingdom
Schengen Area
United States
ESTA
Donald Trump

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