Question

When will an AI defeat top human players in Poohsticks?

1 comment1

Total Forecasters37

Community Prediction2035-08-13 (2028-02-27 - 2054-01-26)

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community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2100-01-02

...

2028-02-27 09:32

2035-08-13 18:18

2054-01-26 10:25

11.1%

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Authors:

casens

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Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AGI Outcomes

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Sports & Entertainment

Technology

Poohsticks

Royal Academy of Engineering

Oxfordshire

University of Oxford

The House at Pooh Corner

A. A. Milne

Why AI must learn to admit ignorance and say 'I don't know'

New Scientist•Dec 13, 2024

The limits of intelligence — Why AI advancement could be slowing down

CNBC•Dec 13, 2024

The Guardian view on AI’s power, limits, and risks: it may require rethinking the technology

Guardian•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will an AI be able to play Angry Birds at a level exceeding that of the best human players?

2025-12-16

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

60%

When will AI be able to learn to play Montezuma's Revenge in less than 30 min?

2025-07-27

Comments

? comments

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AGI Outcomes

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Sports & Entertainment

Technology

Poohsticks

Royal Academy of Engineering

Oxfordshire

University of Oxford

The House at Pooh Corner

A. A. Milne

Why AI must learn to admit ignorance and say 'I don't know'

New Scientist•Dec 13, 2024

The limits of intelligence — Why AI advancement could be slowing down

CNBC•Dec 13, 2024

The Guardian view on AI’s power, limits, and risks: it may require rethinking the technology

Guardian•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will an AI be able to play Angry Birds at a level exceeding that of the best human players?

2025-12-16

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

60%

When will AI be able to learn to play Montezuma's Revenge in less than 30 min?

2025-07-27

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When will an AI defeat top human players in Poohsticks?

Make a Prediction

When will an AI be able to play Angry Birds at a level exceeding that of the best human players?

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

When will AI be able to learn to play Montezuma's Revenge in less than 30 min?

Comments

When will an AI be able to play Angry Birds at a level exceeding that of the best human players?

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

When will AI be able to learn to play Montezuma's Revenge in less than 30 min?

When will an AI be able to play Angry Birds at a level exceeding that of the best human players?

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

When will AI be able to learn to play Montezuma's Revenge in less than 30 min?

When will an AI be able to play Angry Birds at a level exceeding that of the best human players?

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

When will AI be able to learn to play Montezuma's Revenge in less than 30 min?