Question
When will an AI defeat top human players in Poohsticks?
Total Forecasters37
Community Prediction2035-08-13 (2028-02-27 - 2054-01-26)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 2028 | — |
| median | 2035 | — |
| upper 75% | 2054 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2100-01-02 | 11.1% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Apr 1, 2021
Closes:Jan 11, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 11, 2100
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 1, 2021
Closes:Jan 11, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 11, 2100
