Question

Will (at least one) magnitude 6.0 or greater earthquake strike California in 2020?

Resolved :No

13 comments13

Total Forecasters73

Community Prediction30%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 30%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

51.1

Community Peer Score

3.7

median 30.0%mean 30.7%

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Natural Sciences

Earthquake

California

Will there be an 8.0 magnitude or greater earthquake in the Pacific Northwest before 2034?

23.2%

If the SF Bay Area is struck with magnitude 7.8 or higher earthquake by 2052, how many people will die?

587

Will California have a lower GDP per capita than at most nine countries in the world in 2050?

55%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Natural Sciences

Earthquake

California

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Will there be an 8.0 magnitude or greater earthquake in the Pacific Northwest before 2034?

23.2%

If the SF Bay Area is struck with magnitude 7.8 or higher earthquake by 2052, how many people will die?

587

Will California have a lower GDP per capita than at most nine countries in the world in 2050?

55%