Question

What will the magnitude of most severe earthquake to strike California in 2020 be?

Resolved :5.8

20 comments20

Total Forecasters58

Community Prediction5.83

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>7.5

...

5.788

5.832

6.05

1.8%

What was the final result?5.8

Community Baseline Score

64.7

Community Peer Score

43.3

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Moment magnitude scale

If the SF Bay Area is struck with magnitude 7.8 or higher earthquake by 2052, how many people will die?

587

How many people will die as a result of the most deadly earthquake from 2020 - 2029?

74.3k

Will there be an 8.0 magnitude or greater earthquake in the Pacific Northwest before 2034?

22%

Comments

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