Question

Longbets series: By 2040 will the percentage of college-aged U.S. citizens who are attending postsecondary educational institutions in the United States drop at least 50% from the level in 2011?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters33

Community Prediction21.9% (9% - 30%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 21.9%

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Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Social Sciences

United States

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Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that the college enrollment rate will be greater than 26.6% in 2025?

95%

Will the fraction of American 18-24 year-olds enrolled in colleges in 2025 be ≥10% less than were enrolled in 2015?

15%

In 2050, will at least half of college students in the US be studying exclusively remotely or online?

42.2%

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