Question

Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?

Resolved :Yes70%

26 comments26

Total Forecasters169

Community Prediction70% (53% - 80%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 70%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

47.8

Community Peer Score

12.2

Authors:

paulgabrielsen

Opened:

Feb 9, 2017

Closes:

Mar 1, 2018

Resolves:

Dec 20, 2018

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Technology

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Intercontinental ballistic missile

Donald Trump

Aerospace engineering

Physics

North Korea and weapons of mass destruction

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