Question

Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?

Resolved :Yes

26 comments26

Total Forecasters169

Community Prediction70%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 70%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

47.8

Community Peer Score

12.2

median 70.0%mean 66.2%

Authors:

paulgabrielsen

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Intercontinental ballistic missile

Donald Trump

Aerospace engineering

Physics

North Korea and weapons of mass destruction

Kim Jong-un

Will there be at least one fatality from nuclear detonation in North Korea by 2050, if any detonation occurs?

28%

Will Russia test a nuclear weapon in the following years?

When will North Korea first put a person in space?

2049-10-08

Comments

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