Question

How much will GiveWell estimate as the cost equivalent to saving a life at the end of 2031?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters24

Community Prediction480 (273 - 876)

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weight:

My Prediction

community

<10

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>50k

...

0.4%

272.7

479.9

876

0.3%

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Authors:

mdickens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

US dollar

GiveWell

The Ultimate Gift

Townhall•Dec 19, 2024

US life expectancy has rebounded closer to pre-pandemic levels

CNN•Dec 19, 2024

Americans are living longer, thanks to pandemic's end, fewer opioid deaths

USA Today•Dec 19, 2024

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Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?

32%

How much money will GiveWell move in 2031?

273M

In 2027, what will the cost-effectiveness of the Against Malaria Foundation be, according to GiveWell?

4.89k

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