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How much will GiveWell estimate as the cost equivalent to saving a life at the end of 2031?
10
4 comments
4
1d
1w
2m
all
Total Forecasters
24
Community Prediction
480
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Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
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My Prediction
community
<10
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>50k
...
...
...
...
...
0.4%
272.7
479.9
876
0.3%
Background Info
Authors:
mdickens
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
US dollar
GiveWell
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Authors:
mdickens
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
US dollar
GiveWell
Submit Tags Feedback
News Match
Probably No Surprise: Medicare Part B Will Cost More In 2025
Forbes
•
Nov 12, 2024
Poorer nations need $1tn a year by 2030 in climate finance, top economists find
Guardian
•
Nov 14, 2024
Reducing Emissions to Lessen Climate Change Would Yield Dramatic Health Benefits by 2030 – Climate Change: Vital Signs of the Planet
•
Nov 14, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
News Match
Probably No Surprise: Medicare Part B Will Cost More In 2025
Forbes
•
Nov 12, 2024
Poorer nations need $1tn a year by 2030 in climate finance, top economists find
Guardian
•
Nov 14, 2024
Reducing Emissions to Lessen Climate Change Would Yield Dramatic Health Benefits by 2030 – Climate Change: Vital Signs of the Planet
•
Nov 14, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
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