Question

Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?

Resolved :No3%

7 comments7

Total Forecasters125

Community Prediction3% (1% - 14%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 3%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

81.0

Community Peer Score

14.4

Authors:

paulgabrielsen

Opened:

Feb 11, 2017

Closes:

Dec 13, 2017

Resolves:

Jan 4, 2018

Sports & Entertainment

China to host world’s first foot race between humans and humanoid robots

Independent•Jan 27, 2025

The best way to prepare for a marathon is revealed - and why you might not have to run as hard as you think

Daily Mail•Jan 28, 2025

Keely Hodgkinson launches her own indoor athletics event - with BBC in talks to broadcast it - and targets breaking world record in attempt to revolutionise the sport

Daily Mail•Feb 2, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will a runner break the 2-hour mark in a competitive marathon?

2027-08-16

What will be the best marathon time completed before 2035, in seconds, according to Guinness World Records?

7.15k

When will the women's world record for a competitive marathon reach below 2 hours?

2061-01-01

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