Question

Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?

Resolved :No3%

7 comments7

Total Forecasters125

Community Prediction3% (1% - 14%)

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50%

community: 3%

Did this actually happen?No

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81.0

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14.4

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Authors:

paulgabrielsen

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Sports & Entertainment

Olympic triathlon champion Alex Yee to race London Marathon: ‘It’s a no-brainer’

Independent•Dec 17, 2024

Keely Hodgkinson launches her own indoor athletics event - with BBC in talks to broadcast it - and targets breaking world record in attempt to revolutionise the sport

Daily Mail•Dec 18, 2024

Ugandan runner due to arrive in London after 516 days and 7,700 miles on the road

Guardian•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will a runner break the 2-hour mark in a competitive marathon?

2027-08-16

What will be the best marathon time completed before 2035, in seconds, according to Guinness World Records?

7.15k

When will the women's world record for a competitive marathon reach below 2 hours?

2061-01-01

Comments

? comments

Authors:

paulgabrielsen

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Sports & Entertainment

Olympic triathlon champion Alex Yee to race London Marathon: ‘It’s a no-brainer’

Independent•Dec 17, 2024

Keely Hodgkinson launches her own indoor athletics event - with BBC in talks to broadcast it - and targets breaking world record in attempt to revolutionise the sport

Daily Mail•Dec 18, 2024

Ugandan runner due to arrive in London after 516 days and 7,700 miles on the road

Guardian•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will a runner break the 2-hour mark in a competitive marathon?

2027-08-16

What will be the best marathon time completed before 2035, in seconds, according to Guinness World Records?

7.15k

When will the women's world record for a competitive marathon reach below 2 hours?

2061-01-01

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Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?

Make a Prediction

When will a runner break the 2-hour mark in a competitive marathon?

What will be the best marathon time completed before 2035, in seconds, according to Guinness World Records?

When will the women's world record for a competitive marathon reach below 2 hours?

Comments

When will a runner break the 2-hour mark in a competitive marathon?

What will be the best marathon time completed before 2035, in seconds, according to Guinness World Records?

When will the women's world record for a competitive marathon reach below 2 hours?

When will a runner break the 2-hour mark in a competitive marathon?

What will be the best marathon time completed before 2035, in seconds, according to Guinness World Records?

When will the women's world record for a competitive marathon reach below 2 hours?

When will a runner break the 2-hour mark in a competitive marathon?

What will be the best marathon time completed before 2035, in seconds, according to Guinness World Records?

When will the women's world record for a competitive marathon reach below 2 hours?