Question

What will the US employment to population ratio be in May 2020?

Resolved :52.844.6

16 comments16

Total Forecasters34

Community Prediction44.6 (39.2 - 48.7)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

39.2

44.64

48.75

What was the final result?52.8

Community Baseline Score

45.5

Community Peer Score

18.5

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

minnow_beacon

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Unemployment in the US

Analysis: 43M Americans Out of Workforce, Migrants Take All Net Job Growth

Breitbart•Dec 20, 2024

2019 U.S. Population Estimates Continue to Show the Nation’s Growth Is Slowing

•Dec 20, 2024

Census Bureau Massively Revises Up Population Growth: +8 Million in 3 Years, +3.3 Million Last Year, Largely due to Immigration. US Population Surges to 340 Million

•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the labor force participation rate (total 16 and older) in the US for January 2035?

54.5

What will be the labor force participation rate (total 16 and older) in the US for October 2030?

59.7

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 50% before 2027?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

minnow_beacon

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Unemployment in the US

Analysis: 43M Americans Out of Workforce, Migrants Take All Net Job Growth

Breitbart•Dec 20, 2024

2019 U.S. Population Estimates Continue to Show the Nation’s Growth Is Slowing

•Dec 20, 2024

Census Bureau Massively Revises Up Population Growth: +8 Million in 3 Years, +3.3 Million Last Year, Largely due to Immigration. US Population Surges to 340 Million

•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the labor force participation rate (total 16 and older) in the US for January 2035?

54.5

What will be the labor force participation rate (total 16 and older) in the US for October 2030?

59.7