Question

By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?

Resolved :No

8 comments8

Total Forecasters86

Community Prediction54%

Make a Prediction

community: 54%

Did this actually happen?No

median 54.0%mean 50.4%

Authors:

Adrian

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Playing God Series

Environment & Climate

Will global malaria mortality rates be reduced by 90% when compared with 2015 rates, by 2030?

35%

Will Guinea Worm be eradicated by the end of 2030?

52%

At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?

44%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Adrian

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Playing God Series

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Will global malaria mortality rates be reduced by 90% when compared with 2015 rates, by 2030?

35%

Will Guinea Worm be eradicated by the end of 2030?

52%

At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?

44%

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By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?

Make a Prediction

Will global malaria mortality rates be reduced by 90% when compared with 2015 rates, by 2030?

Will Guinea Worm be eradicated by the end of 2030?

At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?

Comments

Will global malaria mortality rates be reduced by 90% when compared with 2015 rates, by 2030?

Will Guinea Worm be eradicated by the end of 2030?

At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?

Will global malaria mortality rates be reduced by 90% when compared with 2015 rates, by 2030?

Will Guinea Worm be eradicated by the end of 2030?

At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?

Will global malaria mortality rates be reduced by 90% when compared with 2015 rates, by 2030?

Will Guinea Worm be eradicated by the end of 2030?

At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?