Question

Will Israel annex the Jordan Valley in the West Bank by the end of 2020?

Resolved :No

37 comments37

Total Forecasters131

Community Prediction4%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 4%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

49.6

Community Peer Score

14.0

median 4.0%mean 6.0%

Authors:

deKlik

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

West Bank

Jordan Valley

Annexation of the Jordan Valley

Will Israel lose control over the Golan Heights before 2030?

1.8%

Will Israel join the EU before 2050?

Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

deKlik

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

West Bank

Jordan Valley

Annexation of the Jordan Valley

Israel’s West Bank settlers hope Trump’s return will pave the way for major settlement expansion

Associated Press•Nov 13, 2024

Settlers in Israel’s West Bank hope Trump’s return will pave the way for major settlement expansion

PBS NewsHour•Nov 14, 2024

Trump win fuels discussion of Israel annexing the West Bank. Here's what that means.

CBS•Nov 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Israel lose control over the Golan Heights before 2030?

1.8%