Question

By 1 January 2067, will any medical interventions for healthy adults extend average lifespans by at least 25 years?

14 comments14

Total Forecasters100

Community Prediction52.2%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 52.2%

median 52.2%mean 52.2%

Authors:

Pablo

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Intersex medical interventions

Life expectancy

Bioethics

How Millions of Americans Could Live 5 Years Longer

Newsweek•Nov 15, 2024

The Quest for Immortality: What Do Scientists Say?

Psychology Today•Nov 16, 2024

People Are Getting Brutally Honest About Their Age And How They Feel About Getting Older

Buzzfeed•Nov 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

42%

When will biological lifespans increase faster than 0.75 years per year?

2066-02-08

Will there be any progress in human lifespan enhancement by 2100?

96%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Pablo

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Intersex medical interventions

Life expectancy

Bioethics

How Millions of Americans Could Live 5 Years Longer

Newsweek•Nov 15, 2024

The Quest for Immortality: What Do Scientists Say?

Psychology Today•Nov 16, 2024

People Are Getting Brutally Honest About Their Age And How They Feel About Getting Older

Buzzfeed•Nov 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

42%

When will biological lifespans increase faster than 0.75 years per year?

2066-02-08

Will there be any progress in human lifespan enhancement by 2100?

96%