Question

By 1 January 2067, will any medical interventions for healthy adults extend average lifespans by at least 25 years?

14 comments14

Total Forecasters100

Community Prediction60% (33% - 78%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 60%

Authors:

Pablo

Opened:

May 20, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2067

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2067

Intersex medical interventions

Life expectancy

Bioethics

The Cost of Trying to Live Forever

Time•Mar 3, 2025

A 55-year-old longevity doctor says he's healthier than he was 20 years ago. Here is his biggest tip for living longer.

Business Insider•Mar 3, 2025

Do you know your ‘penis age’? Bryan Johnson does

Guardian•Mar 3, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

61%

Before January 1, 2032, will an FDA-approved therapeutic intervention demonstrate a statistically significant reversal of at least 10 years in biological age in humans?

30%

When will biological lifespans increase faster than 0.75 years per year?

2062-01-31

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Pablo

Opened:

May 20, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2067

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2067

Intersex medical interventions

Life expectancy

Bioethics

The Cost of Trying to Live Forever

Time•Mar 3, 2025

A 55-year-old longevity doctor says he's healthier than he was 20 years ago. Here is his biggest tip for living longer.

Business Insider•Mar 3, 2025

Do you know your ‘penis age’? Bryan Johnson does

Guardian•Mar 3, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

61%

Before January 1, 2032, will an FDA-approved therapeutic intervention demonstrate a statistically significant reversal of at least 10 years in biological age in humans?

30%

When will biological lifespans increase faster than 0.75 years per year?

2062-01-31