Question

When will be the next "Great Power" war?

Resolved :Apr 21, 2024

77 comments77

Total Forecasters154

Community Prediction2035-07

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2199-12

...

2026-01

2035-07

2058-01

5.6%

What was the final result?Apr 21, 2024

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

China

Stockholm International Peace Research Institute

When will be the next war between "great powers" (defined using GDP, population, or permanent membership on UN Security Council)?

2042-03

Will there be active warfare between the United States and China before 2027?

Will a world war begin before 2151?

59%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

China

Stockholm International Peace Research Institute

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When will be the next war between "great powers" (defined using GDP, population, or permanent membership on UN Security Council)?

2042-03

Will there be active warfare between the United States and China before 2027?

Will a world war begin before 2151?

59%

MetaculusM

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When will be the next "Great Power" war?

Make a Prediction

When will be the next war between "great powers" (defined using GDP, population, or permanent membership on UN Security Council)?

Will there be active warfare between the United States and China before 2027?

Will a world war begin before 2151?

Comments

When will be the next war between "great powers" (defined using GDP, population, or permanent membership on UN Security Council)?

Will there be active warfare between the United States and China before 2027?

Will a world war begin before 2151?

When will be the next war between "great powers" (defined using GDP, population, or permanent membership on UN Security Council)?

Will there be active warfare between the United States and China before 2027?

Will a world war begin before 2151?

When will be the next war between "great powers" (defined using GDP, population, or permanent membership on UN Security Council)?

Will there be active warfare between the United States and China before 2027?

Will a world war begin before 2151?