Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

We're considering changes to the Quarterly Cup and want to hear from you, take our short survey to share your thoughts and help shape future iterations of the Cup.

M

Question

When will China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically?

26
32
Total Forecasters90
Community Prediction2060-05-09 (2045-01-29 - 2199-12-31)

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weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2199-12-31
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2045-01-29 10:07
2060-05-09 12:11
>2199-12-31 00:00
26.6%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Geopolitics
List of countries by GDP (nominal)
China
Stockholm International Peace Research Institute
United States
International Monetary Fund
Military budget of China

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