Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

When will the first 49+ qubit universal quantum computer be constructed?

Resolved :Ambiguous2020-01-30
25
17
Total Forecasters85
Community Prediction2020-01-30 (2018-09-08 - 2022-11-01)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
2018-09-08 12:32
2020-01-30 17:10
2022-11-01 06:34

What was the final result?Ambiguous

Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Anthony
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
Natural Sciences
Technology
2016-2020 Leaderboard
Google
Quantum computing
Qubit
Information theory
Physics
D-Wave Systems
Quantum mechanics
IBM

Comments

? comments