Question

Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?

Resolved :No

6 comments6

Total Forecasters112

Community Prediction40%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 40%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

1.3

Community Peer Score

14.3

median 40.0%mean 39.2%

Authors:

paulgabrielsen

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Estonia–Russia relations

Latvia–Russia relations

President of Russia

Ukraine–NATO relations

Vladimir Putin

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

Will there be a large-scale armed conflict in Russia before 2030?

35%

Will Russia annex any part of any Baltic country by 2035?

Comments

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